{"id":18933,"date":"2024-08-26T18:28:56","date_gmt":"2024-08-26T22:28:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cbinsights.com\/?page_id=18933"},"modified":"2024-08-27T17:18:58","modified_gmt":"2024-08-27T21:18:58","slug":"exit-probability","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"\/exit-probability\/","title":{"rendered":"About Exit Probability \u2013 CBI Support"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Data<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n
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Exit Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Timely and reliable insights into a company\u2019s<\/p>\n\n\n\n

IPO and M&A probabilities within the next 2 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\n\t\n\t\n\t\tRequest a demo\t<\/a>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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Overview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

CB Insights Exit Probability is a proprietary machine learning algorithm that measures a private company\u2019s chance of an IPO or M&A exit within the next 2 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With Exit Probability, you can quickly screen companies with IPO and M&A probability that best serve your strategies and get informed before your competitors. The probability score reduces the need for educated guesses and allows for more informed decision-making, optimizing resource allocation, and enhancing strategic planning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Exit Probability exists for 450,000+ private companies; the widest coverage in the industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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How does Exit Probability work<\/strong>?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Exit Probability is computed daily and learns from 70+ data points associated with market and company data. Market data includes M&A and IPO rates per sector and many data points that impact market momentum. Company data includes but is not limited to valuation, funding, patents, acquisitions, management, and investor track records.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Exit Probability predictions are back tested with real historical data from companies that had actual exits; meaning probability scores are grounded in factual truths.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Exit Probability Signals surface important data points that impact a company\u2019s score. Some Signals include:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • High M&A rate in sector<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • High IPO rate in sector<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • High number of patents<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • CFO with IPO experience<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Investors with a strong track record of exits<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Recent funding<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • High latest funding<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • High valuation<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Where can I find Exit Probability?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    It can be found in (1) Company Profiles\u2019 Outlook section, (2) Search under Outlook filter set, and (3) as a column in search results, similar to CB Insight\u2019s other proprietary metrics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Users can choose to see how a company\u2019s Exit Probability has changed in the last 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/div>\n\n\n\n
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    What companies have Exit Probabilities?<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Exit Probability exists for 450,000+ private companies; the widest coverage in the industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Companies must satisfy below criteria to be eligible to have Exit Probability:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    1. Private & Alive<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    2. Not a subsidiary of another company<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    3. Not a Government entity<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    4. Has active URL<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

      Commercial Maturity, Mosaic Health, and Exit Probability, make up a company\u2019s Outlook. Commercial Maturity represents past achievements, Mosaic Health represents the present state, and Exit Probability represents the future prospect of a company.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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      Ready to Get a demo?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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      Access public and private company data in one place.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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      \n\t\n\t\n\t\tRequest a demo\t<\/a>\n\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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      \n\t\n\t\tTrusted by the world’s smartest companies\t<\/span>\n\t
      \n\t\t\t\t\t\"trusted\n\t\t\t\t\t\"trusted\n\t\t\t\t\t\"trusted\n\t\t\t\t\t\"trusted\n\t\t\t\t\t\"trusted\n\t\t\t\t\t\"trusted\n\t\t\t\t\t\"trusted\n\t\t\t\t\t\"trusted\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":65,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"acf":[],"gutenberg_blocks":[{"blockName":"acf\/section-extended","attrs":{"name":"acf\/section-extended","data":{"placement":"full-width","_placement":"field_617b70a2c90b3","background_color":"rgb(0,13,32)","_background_color":"field_617b6f6fc90b1","text_color":"rgb(238,238,238)","_text_color":"field_617b7048c90b2","background_image":"","_background_image":"field_619ec12a91823","background_sizing":"auto","_background_sizing":"field_619ed313bb7cb","background":"","_background":"field_619ec26c484c6","background_desktop_image":"","_background_desktop_image":"field_619ec12a91823","background_desktop_sizing":"auto","_background_desktop_sizing":"field_619ed313bb7cb","background_desktop":"","_background_desktop":"field_619ec2b5484c7","padding_vertical":"standard","_padding_vertical":"field_61dcb4d13d872","show_border":"0","_show_border":"field_61dcbd267eb65"},"mode":"preview"},"innerBlocks":[{"blockName":"core\/columns","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[{"blockName":"core\/column","attrs":{"verticalAlignment":"center"},"innerBlocks":[{"blockName":"core\/heading","attrs":{"textAlign":"left","level":1,"textColor":"teal"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

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      <\/div>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/heading","attrs":{"textAlign":"left"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

      Exit Probability<\/h2>\n","innerContent":["\n

      Exit Probability<\/h2>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":{"align":"left","className":"remove-margin"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

      Timely and reliable insights into a company\u2019s<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

      Timely and reliable insights into a company\u2019s<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":{"align":"left","className":"remove-margin"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

      IPO and M&A probabilities within the next 2 years.<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

      IPO and M&A probabilities within the next 2 years.<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/spacer","attrs":{"height":"31px"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

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      <\/div>\n"]},{"blockName":"acf\/group-alignment","attrs":{"name":"acf\/group-alignment","data":{"horizontal_alignment":"left","_horizontal_alignment":"field_61d7491425cd5","vertical_alignment":"top","_vertical_alignment":"field_61d7493c25cd6","gap":"xs","_gap":"field_66c8af7ddccaf"},"mode":"preview"},"innerBlocks":[{"blockName":"acf\/themed-button","attrs":{"name":"acf\/themed-button","data":{"link":{"title":"Request a demo","url":"https:\/\/www.cbinsights.com\/request-a-demo","target":"_blank"},"_link":"field_619432c558b78","aria":"Request a demo","_aria":"field_619433d776f84","button_color":"magenta","_button_color":"field_6194352976f85"},"mode":"preview"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"","innerContent":[]}],"innerHTML":"\n\n","innerContent":["\n",null,"\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/spacer","attrs":{"height":"40px"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
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      Overview<\/h2>\n","innerContent":["\n

      Overview<\/h2>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

      CB Insights Exit Probability is a proprietary machine learning algorithm that measures a private company\u2019s chance of an IPO or M&A exit within the next 2 years.<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

      CB Insights Exit Probability is a proprietary machine learning algorithm that measures a private company\u2019s chance of an IPO or M&A exit within the next 2 years.<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

      With Exit Probability, you can quickly screen companies with IPO and M&A probability that best serve your strategies and get informed before your competitors. The probability score reduces the need for educated guesses and allows for more informed decision-making, optimizing resource allocation, and enhancing strategic planning.<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

      With Exit Probability, you can quickly screen companies with IPO and M&A probability that best serve your strategies and get informed before your competitors. The probability score reduces the need for educated guesses and allows for more informed decision-making, optimizing resource allocation, and enhancing strategic planning.<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

      Exit Probability exists for 450,000+ private companies; the widest coverage in the industry.<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

      Exit Probability exists for 450,000+ private companies; the widest coverage in the industry.<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/spacer","attrs":{"height":"50px"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

      <\/div>\n","innerContent":["\n
      <\/div>\n"]},{"blockName":"acf\/themed-media","attrs":{"name":"acf\/themed-media","data":{"media_type":"image","_media_type":"field_619d1eb7682b9","image":19197,"_image":"field_6197fd1d77fb0","image_link":"","_image_link":"field_6283c8e4a8c5c","shadow_color":"navy","_shadow_color":"field_6197fcdf7dfc5","alignment":"left","_alignment":"field_6198025dcfad7","float":"0","_float":"field_619803b4addcf","image_size":"full","_image_size":"field_66a2051c6d503"},"mode":"edit"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"","innerContent":[]},{"blockName":"core\/spacer","attrs":{"height":"50px"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
      <\/div>\n","innerContent":["\n
      <\/div>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/heading","attrs":{"style":{"typography":{"fontSize":"30px"}}},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

      How does Exit Probability work<\/strong>?<\/h2>\n","innerContent":["\n

      How does Exit Probability work<\/strong>?<\/h2>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

      Exit Probability is computed daily and learns from 70+ data points associated with market and company data. Market data includes M&A and IPO rates per sector and many data points that impact market momentum. Company data includes but is not limited to valuation, funding, patents, acquisitions, management, and investor track records.<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

      Exit Probability is computed daily and learns from 70+ data points associated with market and company data. Market data includes M&A and IPO rates per sector and many data points that impact market momentum. Company data includes but is not limited to valuation, funding, patents, acquisitions, management, and investor track records.<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

      Exit Probability predictions are back tested with real historical data from companies that had actual exits; meaning probability scores are grounded in factual truths.<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

      Exit Probability predictions are back tested with real historical data from companies that had actual exits; meaning probability scores are grounded in factual truths.<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

      Exit Probability Signals surface important data points that impact a company\u2019s score. Some Signals include:<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

      Exit Probability Signals surface important data points that impact a company\u2019s score. Some Signals include:<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

    5. High M&A rate in sector<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
    6. High M&A rate in sector<\/li>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
    7. High IPO rate in sector<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
    8. High IPO rate in sector<\/li>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
    9. High number of patents<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
    10. High number of patents<\/li>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
    11. CFO with IPO experience<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
    12. CFO with IPO experience<\/li>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
    13. Investors with a strong track record of exits<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
    14. Investors with a strong track record of exits<\/li>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
    15. Recent funding<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
    16. Recent funding<\/li>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
    17. High latest funding<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
    18. High latest funding<\/li>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
    19. High valuation<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
    20. High valuation<\/li>\n"]}],"innerHTML":"\n
        \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n","innerContent":["\n
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          Where can I find Exit Probability?<\/strong><\/h2>\n","innerContent":["\n

          Where can I find Exit Probability?<\/strong><\/h2>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

          It can be found in (1) Company Profiles\u2019 Outlook section, (2) Search under Outlook filter set, and (3) as a column in search results, similar to CB Insight\u2019s other proprietary metrics.<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

          It can be found in (1) Company Profiles\u2019 Outlook section, (2) Search under Outlook filter set, and (3) as a column in search results, similar to CB Insight\u2019s other proprietary metrics.<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

          Users can choose to see how a company\u2019s Exit Probability has changed in the last 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years.<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

          Users can choose to see how a company\u2019s Exit Probability has changed in the last 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years.<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/spacer","attrs":{"height":"50px"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

          <\/div>\n","innerContent":["\n
          <\/div>\n"]},{"blockName":"acf\/themed-media","attrs":{"name":"acf\/themed-media","data":{"media_type":"image","_media_type":"field_619d1eb7682b9","image":18960,"_image":"field_6197fd1d77fb0","image_link":"","_image_link":"field_6283c8e4a8c5c","shadow_color":"navy","_shadow_color":"field_6197fcdf7dfc5","alignment":"left","_alignment":"field_6198025dcfad7","float":"0","_float":"field_619803b4addcf","image_size":"full","_image_size":"field_66a2051c6d503"},"mode":"edit"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"","innerContent":[]},{"blockName":"core\/spacer","attrs":{"height":"50px"},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
          <\/div>\n","innerContent":["\n
          <\/div>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/heading","attrs":{"style":{"typography":{"fontSize":"30px"}}},"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

          What companies have Exit Probabilities?<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n","innerContent":["\n

          What companies have Exit Probabilities?<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

          Exit Probability exists for 450,000+ private companies; the widest coverage in the industry.<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

          Exit Probability exists for 450,000+ private companies; the widest coverage in the industry.<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

          Companies must satisfy below criteria to be eligible to have Exit Probability:<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

          Companies must satisfy below criteria to be eligible to have Exit Probability:<\/p>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list","attrs":{"ordered":true},"innerBlocks":[{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

        • Private & Alive<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
        • Private & Alive<\/li>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
        • Not a subsidiary of another company<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
        • Not a subsidiary of another company<\/li>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
        • Not a Government entity<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
        • Not a Government entity<\/li>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/list-item","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n
        • Has active URL<\/li>\n","innerContent":["\n
        • Has active URL<\/li>\n"]}],"innerHTML":"\n
            \n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ol>\n","innerContent":["\n
              ",null,"\n\n",null,"\n\n",null,"\n\n",null,"<\/ol>\n"]},{"blockName":"core\/paragraph","attrs":[],"innerBlocks":[],"innerHTML":"\n

              Commercial Maturity, Mosaic Health, and Exit Probability, make up a company\u2019s Outlook. Commercial Maturity represents past achievements, Mosaic Health represents the present state, and Exit Probability represents the future prospect of a company.<\/p>\n","innerContent":["\n

              Commercial Maturity, Mosaic Health, and Exit Probability, make up a company\u2019s Outlook. Commercial Maturity represents past achievements, Mosaic Health represents the present state, and Exit Probability represents the future prospect of a company.<\/p>\n"]}],"innerHTML":"\n

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